Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.236080 2.564593 2.927274 3.357816 3.855576 4.413671 5.087859
2025-06-08 1.742587 2.184206 2.718933 3.416086 4.304068 5.401372 6.866495
2025-06-15 1.458990 1.941320 2.562925 3.426785 4.602781 6.157155 8.382899
2025-06-22 1.236591 1.726250 2.389801 3.360934 4.756617 6.706009 9.663333
2025-06-29 1.079679 1.570603 2.265267 3.328521 4.930385 7.278316 11.025814
2025-07-06 0.946555 1.427781 2.135188 3.261787 5.031812 7.740478 12.265551
2025-07-13 0.902679 1.409368 2.181770 3.459512 5.549588 8.883819 14.705889
2025-07-20 0.824199 1.326876 2.118360 3.472898 5.770197 9.574822 16.489539
2025-07-27 0.777343 1.288458 2.118425 3.585719 6.162144 10.585694 18.942577
2025-08-03 0.715132 1.217244 2.055859 3.583212 6.351987 11.266432 20.889342
2025-08-10 0.656533 1.145592 1.984208 3.554837 6.488881 11.862789 22.749058
2025-08-17 0.600657 1.072755 1.902546 3.498048 6.564241 12.349581 24.453726
2025-08-24 0.564250 1.035694 1.888827 3.581007 6.944145 13.518066 27.812477
2025-08-31 0.527515 0.995004 1.865913 3.647921 7.311097 14.730963 31.506033
2025-09-07 0.488370 0.944838 1.818569 3.659165 7.564520 15.744651 34.933050
2025-09-14 0.444649 0.880663 1.736442 3.588615 7.636172 16.383886 37.625478
2025-09-21 0.409708 0.830085 1.675476 3.553885 7.778497 17.192749 40.841653
2025-09-28 0.375048 0.776272 1.601851 3.482387 7.828629 17.799973 43.672277
2025-10-05 0.369278 0.782380 1.653989 3.694245 8.553167 20.064592 51.023039
2025-10-12 0.347008 0.750523 1.621020 3.708589 8.814673 21.263518 55.835812
2025-10-19 0.334995 0.739893 1.633333 3.829496 9.349888 23.210554 62.997711
2025-10-26 0.314793 0.708688 1.595960 3.826808 9.576622 24.409197 68.305598
2025-11-02 0.294458 0.675107 1.549595 3.796399 9.728228 25.433847 73.303519